Tiro F1 Italian GP preview

By Nichola Hedges -
12 min read

Tiro Associates

Market Movers, Italian Grand Prix Preview

Monza Turns the Grid Into a Design Office Report Card

Twelve rounds into the biggest regulation reset in a decade, the podium is being decided in the composites shop, the wind tunnel and the power unit design office long before Sunday.

By Nichola Hedges, Tiro Associates  ·  August 27, 2026  ·  8 min read

Formula 1 is twelve rounds into its biggest regulation reset in over a decade and the story of the season so far has nothing to do with luck. Mercedes leads because its engine and suspension departments read the new rules fastest. Ferrari is closing because its power unit design office has delivered two upgrades already with a third arriving at its own home race. McLaren fell to third at the start of the year and pushed its way back to a win purely through upgrade cadence. Monza asks the one question every one of these teams has been building toward all year, who actually designed the fastest car for the fastest track.

1. A reset built to reward the design office

Why this season is different

Formula 1 has not seen a change like this in a long time. The 2026 season rewrote the power unit rules and the chassis rules in the same year, something that rarely happens together. The power split between engine and battery moved from roughly 80 to 20 toward something close to 50 to 50. The MGU-H is gone. Cars are around 30kg lighter, narrower and running active aerodynamics for the first time. Six manufacturers built power units for this reset, including Red Bull’s first in house engine with Ford and Audi’s arrival as a full manufacturer. Every one of those choices was locked in roughly two years before Melbourne, not on a Sunday afternoon. Twelve rounds into the season, the grid order reads like a stress test on exactly those choices.

2. The podium picture, three routes to the front

Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren

Mercedes leads both championships and got there in the areas a reset year was always going to reward. The W17’s engine found extra performance around the sport’s own reduction in compression ratio and Mercedes drivers have spent the year less exposed to the energy deployment drop off that troubles most of the grid on long straights. The suspension design has mattered just as much, giving the car a set up window and a tyre handling advantage layered on top of the engine rather than a side effect of it. Kimi Antonelli has turned that platform into six wins and nine podiums from the first eleven rounds and a lead at the top of the drivers table. Where it needs work is entirely mechanical. George Russell has spent the year fighting the same car with different build luck, a cracked engine block in Hungary, software and hardware that has not always synced cleanly, a wheel shield failure at Silverstone that turned a likely win into fifteenth. The next test is not pace, it is whether the composite and mechanical design teams can put out two genuinely identical cars for the second half of the year.

Ferrari is the team that has actually developed its car in season and it shows. A power unit upgrade introduced around the Austrian Grand Prix lifted the car at both Silverstone and Spa Francorchamps and a second major power unit upgrade is arriving specifically at Monza, the team’s home race. Lewis Hamilton took his first win for the team in Barcelona after a difficult debut season and has scored points at every round since, while Charles Leclerc answered his own sticky spell with victory at Silverstone. Two wins and seven further podiums have closed the gap to Mercedes to under ninety points. What needs work is execution rather than the car itself. Monaco and Hungary both looked like circuits Ferrari should have won yet the team left both with nothing on the podium. Two of the past three races have also seen a late pit stop hand back track position that had already been earned. The next test could not be better timed, a power unit upgrade built for a power sensitive home circuit is as clean a second half swing as this sport offers.

McLaren spent the first quarter of the season paying for problems that were barely its own doing. Oscar Piastri crashed on a reconnaissance lap in Melbourne and then neither he nor Lando Norris could start at all in China, a power unit related issue that gave the champion team its first double no start in over two decades. By the summer break McLaren sat third, well over a hundred points off the lead. What turned it around was the one thing McLaren has repeatedly proven it does better than most, in season upgrades. A package introduced around Miami and Montreal lifted the car and team principal Andrea Stella has openly framed the whole campaign as a race of upgrades rather than a single big swing. Lando Norris delivered the payoff with a win at the Hungaroring, McLaren’s third straight victory at that circuit. What still needs work is reliability, since McLaren has recorded more retirements than any other team inside the top four, the one number keeping a genuinely fast car out of points it should be scoring. The next test is whether that upgrade rate survives a run of races with less time between them to turn parts around.

3. The rest of the grid, where the design gap actually lives

Every team, not just the podium

Red Bull enters the second half running its first power unit built entirely in house, engineered with Ford after the team walked away from Honda. The governing body’s own review rated the internal combustion side of that engine the best on the grid, a genuine achievement for a first attempt, but it also means Red Bull has no additional development allowance left to fix the parts of the power unit that are not yet best in class, since that allowance exists for manufacturers still behind the pace. A turbo lag issue tied to the removal of the MGU-H has followed the car since preseason and Max Verstappen has taken four podiums from eleven rounds without a win or a pole, a rare quiet spell for him at this stage of a season. Adrian Newey, Christian Horner and Helmut Marko have all left the operation since the project began. The next test is whether the power unit and chassis integration work can close a gap that has nothing left to gain from outside allowances.

Aston Martin carried the heaviest expectations of any team going into this reset, built around Adrian Newey’s arrival and Honda’s return as a full works partner. Instead the team reached the summer break tenth in the constructors championship with a single point, Fernando Alonso nineteenth in the drivers standings and Lance Stroll without a point at all. Newey has been candid about the reason, the car’s aerodynamic programme entered the wind tunnel around four months later than its rivals, a scheduling problem rather than a talent one, but one that cost the concept its entire preseason. A small uptick at the Hungarian Grand Prix offered the first real sign of recovery. The next test is simply whether an aero design programme that started a season already a third gone can close that gap before judgement is passed on the concept itself.

Racing Bulls is the story hiding in plain sight, sharing Red Bull’s power unit and much of its wider technical relationship yet consistently outperforming a team with a considerably larger budget. Isack Hadjar came within a whisker of a podium at Monaco and the team sits fifth in the constructors table, ahead of several established midfield names. What needs work is simply proving this at a bigger scale, since the next test for Racing Bulls is showing this is a repeatable technical process rather than one strong season.

Alpine turned Pierre Gasly’s early season pace into an actual podium finish and looked for a spell like it had genuinely arrived in the new era. It has since lost the unofficial best of the rest tag to Racing Bulls and its own leadership has openly admitted the team needs the upgrades already in the pipeline to make the jump it knows it is capable of. The next test is converting a car with a high ceiling into one that reaches it every second weekend, not just once.

Haas built an early scoring lead in the first quarter of the season and has since been caught by faster developing rivals, a familiar shape for a team whose resources do not stretch to a season long development race. The next test is whether a smaller design office can find one more useful package before the year is out to protect a position further up the midfield than its size would otherwise suggest.

Audi‘s first season as a full manufacturer has been one of the more encouraging stories of the reset, reaching the summer break with genuine momentum even through its own reliability setbacks. The next test is turning a competitive baseline into the kind of consistent scoring that justifies the scale of a first works programme.

Williams made the unusual choice to sacrifice its 2025 season entirely to focus on this reset and has little to show for it, a heavy chassis that missed early testing in Barcelona and just a handful of points from eleven rounds despite finishing fifth in the constructors table only a year earlier. It is the clearest cautionary tale on the grid for what happens when a chassis design programme runs late into a season built to punish exactly that. The next test is stabilising the platform before the mistake compounds into the following year’s design cycle as well.

Cadillac‘s maiden season has produced a baseline and nothing more, the newest team on the grid still searching for its first point. That is a defensible position for a debut season built from nothing, but simply taking part will not count as progress for much longer once the second half begins.

4. Monza asks the question directly

The circuit as a technical exam

Monza is the fastest circuit on the calendar for a reason. Cars run on full throttle for around eighty percent of the lap, a low downforce, low drag setup that rewards whichever aero department has built the most efficient bodywork rather than the most downforce and the long straights turn power unit design into the single biggest variable of the weekend. The braking zones into the chicanes are just as unforgiving in the other direction, some of the heaviest stops on the calendar landing straight on top of a car’s mechanical and structural design. It is, in other words, a circuit that tests precisely the three disciplines that have decided this season already. Ferrari knows this better than anyone and has timed its next power unit step for exactly this weekend, at home, in front of the crowd the upgrade is really for.

5. Who has the momentum for the second half

Ferrari and McLaren look like the form teams

If the first half of 2026 belonged to Mercedes on raw pace, the second half is shaping up as a fight between the two teams that have actually proven they can develop a car within a season. Ferrari has delivered two power unit upgrades already and is bringing a third at its own home race, the clearest in season development record of any team chasing the championship. McLaren has done the same on the chassis and aerodynamic side, turning a shocking start into a Hungaroring win purely through upgrade cadence. Mercedes still leads both championships comfortably, but a season built on reliability problems it has not yet solved leaves the door open if either chasing team lands its Monza package right. Red Bull and Aston Martin, by contrast, both need the second half to answer a design question the first half left open, whether a first in house power unit and a delayed aero programme can be fixed with the tools each team has left.

Our hiring focus this window

Three disciplines sit behind every story in this preview and they are our hiring focus for teams building toward next season as much as they are the story of this one.

Composite and mechanical design, the chassis discipline, is the reason Mercedes carries a genuine reliability question despite leading both championships and the reason Williams’ season went wrong before a single point was scored. It is the least visible discipline in a highlights package and the one that decides whether a fast car actually finishes.

Aero design is Aston Martin’s entire story this year, a wind tunnel programme that started months behind schedule and cost an ambitious concept its whole first half. It is also Monza’s specific technical demand this week, the lowest drag setup of the season rewarding whoever built the most efficient bodywork rather than the most downforce.

Power unit design is Ferrari’s route back into this championship, two upgrades delivered already and a third timed for its own home race and it is the discipline Red Bull cannot simply buy its way out of now that its own engine has been rated the best on the grid with no further allowance left to fix what remains.

Working with Tiro

If your team is chasing a Monza style swing of its own, chassis, aero and power unit design are exactly where the summer shutdown becomes the best hiring window of the year. The people worth having are settled, not actively looking and a proper search reaches them directly rather than waiting on a reply to an advert.

If you are the engineer behind one of these design offices and Monza has you wondering where your own career actually stands, a confidential career review is worth an honest hour, no vacancy required and no obligation attached.

Email recruit@tiroassociates.com
Phone 44 1277 354469
tiroassociates.com
A human solution for a human problem.

This preview is built on the Formula 1 drivers’ and constructors’ standings after the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix, round twelve of the season and on team development stories confirmed across the first half of the year ahead of the Italian Grand Prix at Monza on September 4 to 6.

Tiro Associates

Market Movers, Italian Grand Prix Preview  ·  August 2026
recruit@tiroassociates.com  ·  Phone 44 1277 354469
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